Can you expand more on why the Giants are in your bottom 5 front office which I agree with. I don’t understand their current plan. The way they approached the draft it looked like their still trying to win now with Daniel Jones, but the day after the draft Joe Schoen is preaching patience. Patience with a mediocre QB on a 47 million cap hit makes no sense.
Yes! Love the quick implementation on this idea :)
As a blend of the front office and QB topics, my question is about a particular subset of QBs either up for extension or the foundation for a large team-building bet: Stroud, Love and Goff.
Taking into account your AQE ratings and Bayesian rankings, how do you see (a) the uncertainty of a three-year projection for them and with whom you'd have the most confidence of high-level play, and (b) what would the optimal front office approaches look like for each these teams going forward with those thoughts in mind.
Was also curious if you'd heard anything about Burrow's injury from folks around the league. Seems like a tough one to predict a full bounce back to his old self?
"Physically, Burrow’s encouraged but acknowledged this hasn’t been an easy path to this point. The biggest challenge, he said, was 'the uncertainty,' and admitting they were 'kind of flying blind' since no major quarterbacks have been through this type of injury before. He found himself consulting with linebackers and defensive linemen."
I was wondering if you could summarize your top and bottom teams, and maybe explain your methodology or numbers you used a little more. Was a little hard to follow takeaways in the podcast. Discussion was great, it's a very difficult topic but at least trying to set up some parameters is interesting and can lead to some good fundamental ideas.
Question 1: If there was one thing you think teams could do better across most front offices, what would it be? My thought is positional value, still feels underutilized when it's nothing personal it's just how the competitive structure is set up between negotiations and the CBA.
Question 2: How do you explain taking certain analytics to their extremes and seeing how they hold up? You can pick and choose which models to use but also know their limitations in application. As much as I believe in positional value, if your model says to never draft a RB ever, it seems a bit extreme to build that position only from minimum FA and UDFA.
Question 3: Is your disdain for the Browns FO more related to the Watson trade, and is that potentially the worst trade in NFL history? Even discounting for value of QB, it seems they took a huge amount of unnecessary risk and didn't account enough for an unlikely but disastrous outcome, or "tail risk". Had some very good, maybe one "elite" season, then didn't play an entire year.
I forgot to mention the Eric Eager hire by the Panthers as a topic!
Can you expand more on why the Giants are in your bottom 5 front office which I agree with. I don’t understand their current plan. The way they approached the draft it looked like their still trying to win now with Daniel Jones, but the day after the draft Joe Schoen is preaching patience. Patience with a mediocre QB on a 47 million cap hit makes no sense.
Yes! Love the quick implementation on this idea :)
As a blend of the front office and QB topics, my question is about a particular subset of QBs either up for extension or the foundation for a large team-building bet: Stroud, Love and Goff.
Taking into account your AQE ratings and Bayesian rankings, how do you see (a) the uncertainty of a three-year projection for them and with whom you'd have the most confidence of high-level play, and (b) what would the optimal front office approaches look like for each these teams going forward with those thoughts in mind.
Was also curious if you'd heard anything about Burrow's injury from folks around the league. Seems like a tough one to predict a full bounce back to his old self?
https://theathletic.com/5477669/2024/05/07/joe-burrow-injury-recovery-bengals/
"Physically, Burrow’s encouraged but acknowledged this hasn’t been an easy path to this point. The biggest challenge, he said, was 'the uncertainty,' and admitting they were 'kind of flying blind' since no major quarterbacks have been through this type of injury before. He found himself consulting with linebackers and defensive linemen."
I was wondering if you could summarize your top and bottom teams, and maybe explain your methodology or numbers you used a little more. Was a little hard to follow takeaways in the podcast. Discussion was great, it's a very difficult topic but at least trying to set up some parameters is interesting and can lead to some good fundamental ideas.
Question 1: If there was one thing you think teams could do better across most front offices, what would it be? My thought is positional value, still feels underutilized when it's nothing personal it's just how the competitive structure is set up between negotiations and the CBA.
Question 2: How do you explain taking certain analytics to their extremes and seeing how they hold up? You can pick and choose which models to use but also know their limitations in application. As much as I believe in positional value, if your model says to never draft a RB ever, it seems a bit extreme to build that position only from minimum FA and UDFA.
Question 3: Is your disdain for the Browns FO more related to the Watson trade, and is that potentially the worst trade in NFL history? Even discounting for value of QB, it seems they took a huge amount of unnecessary risk and didn't account enough for an unlikely but disastrous outcome, or "tail risk". Had some very good, maybe one "elite" season, then didn't play an entire year.