Week 12 SNF Rams-Eagles: Advanced Review
Another outstanding game for Saquon Barkley and the Eagles, who now are contenders for the No. 1 seed in the NFC
The adjusted scores quantify team play quality, with emphasis on stable metrics (success rate) and downplaying higher variance events (turnovers, special team, penalties, fumble luck, etc). Adjusted expected points added (EPA), in conjunction with opportunity-based metrics like total plays and drives, projects adjusted points. Adjusted scores have been tested against actual scores and offer slightly better predictive ability, though their primary benefit is explanatory.
All 2024-2022 and historical Adjusted Scores and other site metrics are available in a downloadable format to paid subscribers via Google Sheet.
Find previous advanced reviews here
** Adjusted Scores table:
“Pass” - Pass rate over expectation (based on context of each play and historical averages
“Success” - Success rate on offense, a key metric in adjusted score vs actual
“H & A” - Home or away team
LA vs PHI (-3)
Keep reading with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to Unexpected Points to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.