Final 2025 Consensus NFL Draft Mock

Leveraging hundreds of media and analyst mock drafts to project the consensus picks and range of outcomes through the first round of the 2025 NFL draft

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Travis Hunter has solidified as the likely No. 2 pick in the 2025 NFL draft

This is the final version of the consensus mock data, which I first published a few weeks back. This includes mock drafts from media analysts though Monday, April 21st, when most drop their final versions. Now we’ve collected a lot more mock draft data, solidifying potential landing spots and ranges of outcomes for the top prospects.

I’m expanding this version beyond the first round to the top 45 prospects by estimated draft position. For some prospects who are missing from mocks, the distribution of weighted mocks can be a bit deceiving, i.e. their rankings is much lower than the picks they’ve been mocked to. Prospects are lowered in ranking when they are excluded from mocks, not making the round cutoff.

You will not find a more comprehensive data set for mock drafts than this analysis, which is combined with Benjamin Robinson’s work at Grinding The Mocks which gauges the prior accuracy of established mock drafters. That work comes together in the “Weighted Mocks” score he has for each draft selection for every prospect. You’ll find that score on a percentage basis on the Y axis. Here’s an explanation of how weighted mocks is calculated from Robinson:

To calculate "Adjusted Mock Drafts", we use "Grinding the Mocks" pick-by-pick mock draft data at Player, Pick, and team level. As the draft order has only just been finalized, this data should become more firm as the draft process goes on. Player, team, and pick mock drafts are counted and then adjusted accordingly based on the draftnik's historic accuracy and how close the mock draft is from the date of the NFL draft.

I’m using those weighted mock scores for each player and each potential selection, visualizing his range of outcomes below. Some players are almost certain to go to a particular team, others could reasonably fall to almost any team.

Okay, let’s get to the info. The top-45 players are given with their positions, headshots and school logos. The NFL teams are represented by team logos and primary colors.

Cam Ward sticks at No. 1, with the pick solidifying even more as we get closer to the draft. Welcome to Nashville!

Travis Hunter is the most likely pick for the Cleveland Browns, with general manager Andrew Berry saying that they’d view him first as a wide receiver, which gives him more surplus value based on trends in veterans positional contracts.

Abdul Carter is likely going to the New York Giants, with the implied betting odds putting Carter as the third pick at an 85% likelihood.

Will Campbell, not Mason Graham is currently viewed in betting markets as the most likely pick at No. 4, though some lower-ranked mock drafts end up dragging down his weighted projection slightly.

Would the Las Vegas Raiders really use a premium pick on a running back? They’re already somewhat skewed towards the present, spending draft capital and an extended contract on Geno Smith and bringing in a very experienced Pete Carroll. I hate the idea, but teams aren’t listening to me.

Tyler Warren is a bit of a wild card, with significant numbers of mock drafters placing him in the top-10 picks, though the most common selection being No. 14 to the Indianapolis Colts. Tight ends are so hard to project, which means you can lean later and still find value. The 2025 class has a number of prospects that hit the thresholds I look for at the position.